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This article presents forecasts and analyses of global trends for 2025, based on recent news and expert opinions. It is a future-oriented exercise, not a factual report.
Politics and Economics: Instability and Opportunities
Following Donald Trump's victory in the US elections, the international scenario points to an escalation of tariffs and protectionist measures. The IMF warns of the risk of new trade barriers, predicting a tariff of 10% on goods from the European Union exported to the US.3. This stance could destabilize global supply chains and raise costs for consumers.
In Europe, the Franco-German axis is showing signs of weakness, while less restrictive monetary policy and boosted consumption are sustaining growth. However, experts emphasize that the single currency economy faces structural problems and depends on inflows of European funds to maintain its pace.3.
China: Self-sufficiency and Expansion
China is consolidating its position as a scientific power, with advances in chips and innovation that are reducing its dependence on the West.1. The country is expanding its global influence through trade agreements and visa waivers, especially with Brazil and the European Union. During COP30, climate cooperation with Brazil reinforces China's role in the environmental agenda of the Global South.2.
Canada: Economic and Environmental Leadership
Canada stands out for its economic and environmental progress, with active participation in COP30 and support for the standardization of the global carbon market proposed by Brazil and 12 other countries.2. The repeal of the tax on luxury boats stimulates strategic sectors and serves as an example for Brazil. Furthermore, the country leads the international tourism boom, attracting visitors and strengthening its economy.1.
Technology and Innovation
Artificial intelligence is accelerating digital transformation across various sectors, while the pursuit of high performance is becoming a competitive differentiator.6. Canada is also making progress in regulating stablecoins, promising greater transparency and protection for investors.1.
Travel and Consumption
Global tourism continues to rise, with a 25% increase in searches in Latin America and a 20% increase in Europe, the Middle East, and Africa compared to the previous year.5. Luxury travel is gaining momentum, with growing demand for premium experiences and stays in 5-star hotels.5.
Challenges and Risks
In addition to trade tensions, experts warn of geopolitical risks, such as the escalation of conflict in the Middle East, which could disrupt supply chains and raise energy prices.3. Civil society is pushing for concrete actions against climate change, leading to stricter laws and greater demands for sustainability.4.
Photo by Basma Alghali on Unsplash
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